Flurries, then sun today; milder weather this week

The days are getting longer, and we’ve got some warmer weather on tap this week – not too much warmer, but certainly milder than last week. It’s actually looking a lot like great sugaring weather – in the teens at night, then the high thirties / low 40s during the day.

But we shouldn’t think too much about sugaring season yet – still quite a ways to go in winter.

The Vermont forecast from the Fairbanks Museum in St. Johnsbury:

Isolated early flurries, otherwise mostly sunny. Highs 15-20 north, 20-32 south. North wind 8-15 mph this morning becoming light and variable this afternoon.

For Tonight and Beyond:

Tonight: A clear start, then partly cloudy late. Lows from 2 below to 10 above zero, temperature steady or rising slowly late. Light, variable wind, becoming light southerly over higher terrain.
Tuesday: Becoming mostly sunny. Milder. Highs 30-35. S-SW wind freshening to 10-15 mph.

Extended Forecast:

Tuesday Nt: Mostly clear. Lows in the 10s.
Wednesday: Becoming mostly cloudy. Chance for snow showers during the PM. Highs 34-38.
Wednesday Nt: Mostly cloudy, chance for snow showers. Lows in the mid 20s.
Thursday: Chance for early AM snow showers, then mostly sunny, breezy. Highs 30-35.
Thursday Nt: Mostly clear. Lows 12-22.
Friday: Increasing clouds. Chance for light mixed precipitation to develop. Highs 35-40.

Forecast Discussion:
Another short shot of cold air is feeding into the state this morning behind a cold front now sagging across southern New England. The real bite to the air will be limited to the northern half of the state, though, given the shallow nature of the fresh air mass. HIGH pressure centered over southwest Quebec now will slide rapidly southeast, and by day’s end will be near Bangor ME. Northerly wind through midday will slacken quickly this afternoon, then veer into the south overnight and milder air will once again surge northeastward.  But moisture will be scant, so aside from an increase in clouds as the front returns, there’ll be little effect aside from a late-night rise in temperature.  For the rest of the week, pacific air masses will be over us more often than not, so temperatures will average well above normal, and precipitation below normal. The only chance for measurable precipitation looks to be Wednesday evening with the passage of a moderately vigorous cold front. It’ll probably trigger snow showers on its way through.

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